S&P CORELOGIC CASE-SHILLER INDEX SHOWS ANNUAL HOME PRICE GAINS INCREASED TO 19.8% IN FEBRUARY
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S&P CORELOGIC CASE-SHILLER INDEX SHOWS ANNUAL HOME PRICE GAINS INCREASED TO 19.8% IN FEBRUARY

NEW YORK, April 26, 2022 — (PRNewswire) —  S&P Dow Jones Indices (S&P DJI) today released the latest results for the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Indices, the leading measure of U.S. home prices. Data released today for February 2022 show that home prices continue to increase across the U.S. More than 27 years of history are available for the data series and can be accessed in full by going to https://www.spglobal.com/spdji/.

YEAR-OVER-YEAR

The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price NSA Index, covering all nine U.S. census divisions, reported a 19.8% annual gain in February, up from 19.1% in the previous month. The 10-City Composite annual increase came in at 18.6%, up from 17.3% in the previous month. The 20-City Composite posted a 20.2% year-over-year gain, up from 18.9% in the previous month.

Phoenix, Tampa, and Miami reported the highest year-over-year gains among the 20 cities in February. Phoenix led the way with a 32.9% year-over-year price increase, followed by Tampa with a 32.6% increase and Miami with a 29.7% increase. All 20 cities reported higher price increases in the year ending February 2022 versus the year ending January 2022. 

MONTH-OVER-MONTH

Before seasonal adjustment, the U.S. National Index posted a 1.7% month-over-month increase in February, while the 10-City and 20-City Composites both posted increases of 2.4%.

After seasonal adjustment, the U.S. National Index posted a month-over-month increase of 1.9%, and the 10-City and 20-City Composites both posted increases of 2.3% and 2.4%, respectively.

In February, all 20 cities reported increases before and after seasonal adjustments.

ANALYSIS

"U.S. home prices continued to advance at a very rapid pace in February," says Craig J. Lazzara, Managing Director at S&P DJI. "The National Composite Index recorded a gain of 19.8% for the 12 months ended February 2022; the 10- and 20-City Composites rose 18.6% and 20.2%, respectively. All three composites reflect an acceleration of price growth relative to January's level.

"The National Composite's 19.8% year-over-year change for February was the third-highest reading in 35 years of history. That level of price growth suggests broad strength in the housing market, which is exactly what we continue to observe. All 20 cities saw double-digit price increases for the 12 months ended in February, and price growth in all 20 cities accelerated relative to January's report. February's price increase ranked in the top quartile of historical experience for every city, and in the top decile for 18 of them.

"Phoenix's 32.9% price increase led all cities for the 33rd consecutive month, with Tampa (+32.6%) and Miami (+29.7%) close behind. Prices were strongest in the South (+28.1%) and Southeast (+27.9%), but every region continued to show impressive gains.

"The macroeconomic environment is evolving rapidly and may not support extraordinary home price growth for much longer. The post-COVID resumption of general economic activity has stoked inflation, and the Federal Reserve has begun to increase interest rates in response. We may soon begin to see the impact of increasing mortgage rates on home prices."

SUPPORTING DATA

Table 1 below shows the housing boom/bust peaks and troughs for the three composites along with the current levels and percentage changes from the peaks and troughs.


2006 Peak

2012 Trough

Current

 

Index

 

Level

 

Date

 

Level

 

Date

From Peak
(%)

 

Level

From Trough
(%)

From Peak
(%)

National

184.61

Jul-06

133.99

Feb-12

-27.4%

286.68

114.0%

55.3%

20-City

206.52

Jul-06

134.07

Mar-12

-35.1%

296.35

121.0%

43.5%

10-City

226.29

Jun-06

146.45

Mar-12

-35.3%

308.45

110.6%

36.3%

 

Table 2 below summarizes the results for February 2022. The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Indices could be revised for the prior 24 months, based on the receipt of additional source data.


February 2022

February/January

January '22/December '21

1-Year

Metropolitan Area

Level

Change (%)

Change (%)

Change (%)

Atlanta

212.73

2.0%

1.5%

24.0%

Boston

291.65

2.1%

0.7%

14.6%

Charlotte

235.73

1.9%

1.3%

25.5%

Chicago

175.19

1.2%

0.4%

13.1%

Cleveland

162.39

0.9%

0.3%

13.6%

Dallas

276.18

2.9%

1.9%

28.8%

Denver

306.91

3.1%

1.6%

22.3%

Detroit

163.68

1.6%

0.7%

14.6%

Las Vegas

274.40

2.1%

1.7%

27.5%

Los Angeles

397.37

3.2%

1.6%

22.1%

Miami

358.26

2.3%

1.8%

29.7%

Minneapolis

222.20

1.1%

0.5%

12.0%

New York

258.62

1.1%

0.7%

12.9%

Phoenix

314.32

2.2%

1.7%

32.9%

Portland

322.69

2.5%

0.9%

19.0%

San Diego

401.45

4.5%

2.6%

29.1%

San Francisco

366.60

3.7%

2.4%

22.9%

Seattle

381.36

4.4%

2.0%

26.6%

Tampa

338.47

2.7%

2.4%

32.6%

Washington

292.95

1.7%

1.1%

11.9%

Composite-10

308.45

2.4%

1.3%

18.6%

Composite-20

296.35

2.4%

1.4%

20.2%

U.S. National

286.68

1.7%

1.2%

19.8%

Sources: S&P Dow Jones Indices and CoreLogic


Data through February 2022













Table 3 below shows a summary of the monthly changes using the seasonally adjusted (SA) and non-seasonally adjusted (NSA) data. Since its launch in early 2006, the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Indices have published, and the markets have followed and reported on, the non-seasonally adjusted data set used in the headline indices. For analytical purposes, S&P Dow Jones Indices publishes a seasonally adjusted data set covered in the headline indices, as well as for the 17 of 20 markets with tiered price indices and the five condo markets that are tracked.


February/January Change (%)

January '22/December '21 Change (%)

Metropolitan Area

NSA

SA

NSA

SA

Atlanta

2.0%

2.1%

1.5%

1.8%

Boston

2.1%

2.5%

0.7%

1.3%

Charlotte

1.9%

2.1%

1.3%

1.8%

Chicago

1.2%

1.4%

0.4%

1.0%

Cleveland

0.9%

1.3%

0.3%

1.1%

Dallas

2.9%

3.0%

1.9%

2.2%

Denver

3.1%

2.9%

1.6%

1.7%

Detroit

1.6%

1.7%

0.7%

1.3%

Las Vegas

2.1%

2.3%

1.7%

2.0%

Los Angeles

3.2%

3.2%

1.6%

1.9%

Miami

2.3%

2.4%

1.8%

2.0%

Minneapolis

1.1%

1.2%

0.5%

1.2%

New York

1.1%

1.2%

0.7%

0.9%

Phoenix

2.2%

2.3%

1.7%

2.1%

Portland

2.5%

2.6%

0.9%

1.1%

San Diego

4.5%

3.6%

2.6%

2.8%

San Francisco

3.7%

3.1%

2.4%

3.2%

Seattle

4.4%

3.5%

2.0%

2.2%

Tampa

2.7%

2.7%

2.4%

2.7%

Washington

1.7%

1.7%

1.1%

1.5%

Composite-10

2.4%

2.3%

1.3%

1.7%

Composite-20

2.4%

2.4%

1.4%

1.7%

U.S. National

1.7%

1.9%

1.2%

1.6%

Sources: S&P Dow Jones Indices and CoreLogic


Data through February 2022













For more information about S&P Dow Jones Indices, please visit https://www.spglobal.com/spdji/.

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FOR MORE INFORMATION:

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S&P Dow Jones Indices' interactive blog, IndexologyBlog.com, delivers real-time commentary and analysis from industry experts across S&P Global on a wide-range of topics impacting residential home prices, homebuilding and mortgage financing in the United States. Readers and viewers can visit the blog at www.indexologyblog.com, where feedback and commentary are welcomed and encouraged.

The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Indices are published on the last Tuesday of each month at 9:00 am ET. They are constructed to accurately track the price path of typical single-family homes located in each metropolitan area provided. Each index combines matched price pairs for thousands of individual houses from the available universe of arms-length sales data. The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index tracks the value of single-family housing within the United States. The index is a composite of single-family home price indices for the nine U.S. Census divisions and is calculated quarterly. The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 10-City Composite Home Price Index is a value-weighted average of the 10 original metro area indices. The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City Composite Home Price Index is a value-weighted average of the 20 metro area indices. The indices have a base value of 100 in January 2000; thus, for example, a current index value of 150 translates to a 50% appreciation rate since January 2000 for a typical home located within the subject market.

These indices are generated and published under agreements between S&P Dow Jones Indices and CoreLogic, Inc.

The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Indices are produced by CoreLogic, Inc. In addition to the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Indices, CoreLogic also offers home price index sets covering thousands of zip codes, counties, metro areas, and state markets. The indices, published by S&P Dow Jones Indices, represent just a small subset of the broader data available through CoreLogic.

Case-Shiller® and CoreLogic® are trademarks of CoreLogic Case-Shiller, LLC or its affiliates or subsidiaries ("CoreLogic") and have been licensed for use by S&P Dow Jones Indices. None of the financial products based on indices produced by CoreLogic or its predecessors in interest are sponsored, sold, or promoted by CoreLogic, and neither CoreLogic nor any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, or predecessors in interest makes any representation regarding the advisability of investing in such products.

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