We cannot assure you that our satellites will operate as designed.
Our OrbView-3 satellite employs advanced technologies and sensors that are subject to severe environmental stresses in space that could affect the satellite's performance. Our OrbView-5 satellite will employ even more advanced technologies and sensors. Employing advanced technologies is further complicated by the fact that the satellite is in space. Hardware component problems in space could lead to degradation in performance or loss of functionality of the satellite, with attendant costs and revenue losses. In addition, human operators may execute improper implementation commands that negatively impact a satellite's performance.
We cannot assure you that OrbView-3 will continue to operate successfully in space throughout its expected design life. In addition, we cannot assure you that we will successfully launch OrbView-5 or that, once launched, OrbView-5 will operate successfully. Even if a satellite is operated properly, minor technical flaws in the satellite's sensors could significantly degrade their performance, which could materially affect our ability to market our products successfully.
Our business model depends on our ability to sell imagery from two high- resolution satellites. We do not presently have plans to construct and launch a replacement satellite for OrbView-3 if it fails prematurely. The loss or failure of OrbView-5 to be placed into service, or the permanent loss of OrbView-3, particularly if such loss were to occur prior to OrbView-5 being placed into service, would materially and adversely affect our operations and financial condition.
Satellites have limited useful lives and are expensive to replace.
Satellites have limited useful lives. We determine a satellite's useful life, or its design life, using a complex calculation involving the probabilities of failure of the satellite's components from design or manufacturing defects, environmental stresses or other causes. The design lives of our satellites are as follows:
Satellite Design Life OrbView-2 7-1/2 years (launched in August 1997) OrbView-3 5 years (launched in June 2003) OrbView-5 7 years (anticipated launch early 2007)
The design lives of these satellites are affected by a number of factors, including the quality of construction, the supply of fuel, the expected gradual environmental degradation of solar panels, the durability of various satellite components and the orbits in which the satellites are placed. Random failure of satellite components could cause damage to or loss of the use of a satellite before the end of its design life. In rare cases, electrostatic storms or collisions with other objects could damage our satellites. We cannot assure you that each satellite will remain in operation for its design life. We expect the performance of each satellite to decline gradually near the end of its design life. Despite the fact that OrbView-2's seven and a half year design life is expired, we currently expect to continue commercial operations with OrbView-2 for up to two and a half more years. However, notwithstanding the ongoing successful operation of OrbView-2, we can offer no assurance that it will maintain its prescribed orbit or remain commercially operational past its design life.
We anticipate using funds generated from operations to develop plans for follow-on high-resolution imagery satellites. If we do not generate sufficient funds from operations, we will not be able to deploy OrbView-5 or other potential follow-on satellites to replace OrbView-3 at the end of its design life. In addition, we may need to obtain financing from outside sources to deploy follow-on satellites to replace OrbView-3. We cannot assure you that we will be able to generate sufficient funds from operations or to raise additional capital, on favorable terms or on a timely basis, if at all, to develop or deploy follow-on high-resolution satellites.
Limited insurance coverage and availability may prevent us from obtaining insurance to cover all risks of loss.
We plan to obtain launch insurance on OrbView-5, and to continue to maintain on-orbit operations insurance for OrbView-3 and OrbView-5, to the extent that such coverage can be obtained at a premium that is not disproportionately high. This insurance may not be sufficient to cover the cost of a replacement high-resolution imagery satellite such as OrbView-3 or OrbView-5. We do not carry any insurance coverage for the OrbView-2 satellite. In addition, we may find it difficult to insure against certain risks, such as partial degradation of functionality of a satellite.
Insurance market conditions or factors outside our control at the time we are in the market for the required insurance, such as failure of a satellite using similar components or a similar launch vehicle, could cause premiums to be significantly higher than current estimates. Higher premiums on insurance policies will increase our costs, thereby reducing our operating income by the amount of such increased premiums. Should the future terms of launch and on-orbit insurance policies become less favorable than those currently available, this may result in limits on amounts of coverage that we can obtain or may prevent us from obtaining insurance at all.
We cannot assure you that the market will accept our products and services.
Our success depends on existing markets accepting our imagery products and services and our ability to develop new markets. Our business plan is based on the assumption that we will generate significant future revenues from sales of high-resolution imagery produced by OrbView-3, and eventually OrbView-5, to our existing markets and new markets. The commercial availability of high- resolution satellite imagery is still a fairly recent phenomenon. Consequently, it is difficult to predict accurately the ultimate size of the market and the market acceptance of our products and services. Our strategy to target certain markets for our satellite imagery relies on a number of assumptions, some or all of which may be incorrect. Actual markets could vary materially from the potential markets that we have identified.
We cannot accurately predict whether our products and services will achieve significant market acceptance or whether there will be a market for our products and services on terms we find acceptable. Market acceptance of our high-resolution satellite imagery products depends on a number of factors, including the spatial and spectral quality, scope, timeliness, sophistication and price and services and the availability of substitute products and services. Lack of significant market acceptance of our products and services, particularly our high-resolution imagery products and services, delays in acceptance, or failure of certain markets to develop would negatively affect our business, financial condition and results of operations.
We may not successfully compete in the remote imaging industry.
Our products and services will compete with satellite and aircraft-based imagery and related products and services offered by a range of private and government providers. Certain of these competitors may have greater financial, personnel and other resources than we have. Our major existing and potential competitors for high-resolution satellite imagery include:
-- Space Imaging Inc., which operates a high-resolution satellite with more advanced technical capabilities than OrbView-3 and has been delivering high-resolution imagery to its customers since 1999; and -- DigitalGlobe Inc., which operates a high-resolution satellite with higher resolution than OrbView-3 and is currently developing two next-generation satellites which will have more advanced technologies and capabilities than OrbView-3, one of which is planned to be in service by 2006, and the other of which we expect would go into service within a few months thereafter.
There are several international competitors, a number of which have announced programs, which could compete with us for high-resolution satellite imagery customers in the future. These competitors include National Remote Sensing Agency, Department of Space, Government of India; RADARSAT International (Canada); ImageSat International N.V. (Israel) and Spot Image SA (France).