PC Shipments Will Continue To Decline in 2015 as Windows 10 Launch Approaches and Competing Devices Continue To Pressure PC Demand, According To IDC
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PC Shipments Will Continue To Decline in 2015 as Windows 10 Launch Approaches and Competing Devices Continue To Pressure PC Demand, According To IDC

FRAMINGHAM, Mass. — (BUSINESS WIRE) — May 28, 2015 — Worldwide PC shipments are expected to fall by -6.2% in 2015 according to the International Data Corporation ( IDC) Worldwide Quarterly PC Tracker. This will be the fourth consecutive year of declining volume as the PC market continues to struggle with competition from tablets and smartphones and generally low demand. The market almost saw stable shipments in mid-2014 as the end of support for Windows XP boosted demand for replacements, but that cycle has passed and been replaced by a reduction in inventory on the supply side as the market awaits the arrival of Windows 10 this summer.

Windows 10 should be a significant contributor to the PC market – providing an upgrade path from Windows 7 for commercial users and a range of features boosting convenience and integrating the user experience across platforms. Nevertheless, changes like the free upgrade option for consumers and platform integration aren't expected to drive a surge in new PC shipments. The commercial segment is expected to evaluate the OS before deploying it and most new commercial PCs will be replacement systems. The consumer transition to Windows 10 should happen quickly, but the free upgrade reduces the need for a new PC and IDC expects many consumers will continue to prioritize spending on phones, tablets, and wearable devices like the Apple Watch during the holiday season.

"Microsoft and PC vendors still need to convince users of the advantages of the new OS and new PCs, which will take some time," said Loren Loverde, Vice President, Worldwide PC Trackers. "In addition to educating clients, they'll face tough competition from other devices, and weak spending in many regions. As a result, we see PC shipments stabilizing in 2016, followed by limited growth for the next few years."

The impact of competing products, as well as the strong US dollar and weak commodity prices have also constrained spending – particularly abroad. This has especially affected the consumer segment, while commercial demand remains stronger in both mature and emerging regions.

                       

PC Shipments by Product Category and Region (Shipments in millions)

Product
Category

    Region    

2015
Shipments
(M)*

   

Market
Share

   

2019
Shipments
(M)*

   

Market
Share

   

5-Year
CAGR

Portable PC Mature 87.9 30.4% 90.4 30.7% 0.7%
      Emerging     79.3     27.4%     85.0     28.9%     1.7%
Portable PC Total     167.2     57.9%     175.4     59.6%     1.2%
                                     
Desktop PC Mature 47.1 16.3% 45.4 15.5% -0.9%
      Emerging     74.7     25.8%     73.3     24.9%     -0.5%
Desktop PC Total     121.8     42.1%     118.8     40.4%     -0.6%
                                     
Total PC Mature 135.0 46.7% 135.9 46.2% 0.2%
      Emerging     154.0     53.3%     158.3     53.8%     0.7%
Grand Total           289.0     100.0%     294.1     100.0%     0.4%

Source: IDC Worldwide Quarter PC Tracker, May 29, 2015

* Forecast data

Table Note: Mature Markets include U.S., Western Europe, Japan, and Canada. Emerging Markets includes Asia/Pacific (excluding Japan), Latin America, Central and Eastern Europe (CEE), Middle East, and Africa (MEA).

In addition to the table above, an interactive graphic illustrating worldwide Desktop and Portable PC shipments and total PC market growth for 2013-2016 is available here. Instructions on how to embed this graphic into online news articles and social media can be found by viewing this press release on IDC.com.

Taxonomy Note: PCs include Desktop, Mini Notebook and other Portable PCs which possess non-detachable keyboards, and do not include handhelds or tablets such as the Apple iPad, Microsoft Surface Pro, or Android Tablets

IDC's Worldwide Quarterly PC Tracker gathers PC market data in more than 80 countries by vendor, form factor, brand, processor brand and speed, sales channel and user segment. The research includes historical and forecast trend analysis as well as price band and installed base data. For more information, or to subscribe to the research, please contact Kathy Nagamine at 650-350-6423 or knagamine@idc.com.

About IDC Trackers
IDC Tracker products provide accurate and timely market size, vendor share, and forecasts for hundreds of technology markets from more than 100 countries around the globe. Using proprietary tools and research processes, IDC's Trackers are updated on a semiannual, quarterly, and monthly basis. Tracker results are delivered to clients in user-friendly excel deliverables and on-line query tools. The IDC Tracker Charts app allows users to view data charts from the most recent IDC Tracker products on their iPhone and iPad. The IDC Tracker Chart app is also available for Android Phones and Android Tablets.

About IDC
International Data Corporation (IDC) is the premier global provider of market intelligence, advisory services, and events for the information technology, telecommunications, and consumer technology markets. With more than 1,100 analysts worldwide, IDC offers global, regional, and local expertise on technology and industry opportunities and trends in over 110 countries. IDC's analysis and insight helps IT professionals, business executives, and the investment community to make fact-based technology decisions and to achieve their key business objectives. Founded in 1964, IDC is a subsidiary of IDG, the world's leading technology media, research, and events company. To learn more about IDC, please visit www.idc.com. Follow IDC on Twitter at @IDC.

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Contact:

IDC
Loren Loverde, 305-351-3115
Email Contact
or
Jay Chou, 650-350-6464
Email Contact
or
Michael Shirer, 508-935-4200
Email Contact